Belarus making Hybrid War on EU — Lithuania and Poland frontline
Belarus is flooding migrants across the border. About three days ago, Lithuania started pushing migrants back into Belarus. Belarus has just responded by closing border — a one way valve.
My estimate is that among Belarus next significant moves will be to build up a large number of migrants to surge across.
Lithuania is completely unprepared. They needed help fast. I just flew from Lithuania this morning and am over Atlantic now flying to Panama to another hybrid war.
Belarus has threatened to flood EU with migrants, drugs, and radioactive material. I would not be surprised if Belarus seizes a small piece of Lithuania. Can be done in hours. As provocation to test NATO and to create friction. And because Lukashenko is stupid. He’s truly stupid. Remember from the Stupid book: stupid people do things that hurt themselves, and others. Net loss for all. Take Saddam, Hitler, Qaddafi as examples: all wrecked their own countries and died in the process.
Non-stupid people at least help themselves. Intelligent people help everyone.
Lukashenko is stupid. And stupid dictators behave irrationally like overgrown toddlers with guns. Everything is on the table. Lukashenko is less rational than North Korea. And that’s saying a lot.